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Red Sea shipping has caused a significant decline in the trade of European goods.

A new study has shown that European imports and exports are down significantly from last month, likely due to disruptions in Red Sea shipping. In Germany, one of the world's top exporters, both imports and exports have declined. While global trade has been volatile over the past year, the recent decline is a cause for concern. It's still unclear how long these disruptions will last and what the long-term impact will be on the global economy. 📉

One of the major reasons for the decline in trade is the ongoing attacks on shipping containers in the Red Sea, which has led to a significant drop in the number of containers being transported through the area. This is having a major impact on global trade. Such strains are forcing European companies to adjust their inventory management plans.

As a result of the shipping delays, major UK grocery chains like Sainsbury's are collaborating with the government to find solutions. Additionally, these chains are carefully planning the shipment of goods from the Asia-Pacific region to ensure they arrive in a timely manner.

Some companies, like Tesco, are warning that these delays could lead to inflation in the cost of consumer goods. An analysis by Sea-Intelligence suggests that these disruptions could last for a few more weeks, but they are not as severe as those caused by the pandemic.

Freight rates have been rising rapidly since mid-December, doubling or tripling on a spot basis for many importers. The latest data from the Drewry World Container Index shows that spot rates for 40-foot containers continue to climb:

Shanghai to Rotterdam - up 23% to $4,406

Shanghai to Genoa - up 25% to $5,213

Shanghai to Los Angeles - up 2.3% to $2,790

Despite the noticeable increase in transportation costs, the effects on European consumer prices are expected to be minimal.

Accordingly, despite a noticeable increase in transportation costs, no noticeable consequences for consumer prices in Europe are to be expected,” Julian Hinz, director of the Trade Policy Research Center and the new head of the Kiel Trade Indicator.

He added, perhaps optimistically, that “apart from slightly longer delivery times for products from the Far East and increased freight costs, to which the container ship network should

quickly adjust, no negative consequences for global trade are to be expected.

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